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Showing posts with label Environment. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Environment. Show all posts
San Bruno Fire Pictures: "Hell on Earth" in California
Photograph by Jeff Chiu, AP
A firefighting plane dumps retardant onto the San Bruno fire, which engulfed several northern California blocks on September 9.
Though the gas flow was stopped and the fire mostly contained by late Thursday, extinguishing street gas-line fires is notoriously tough, according to the San Francisco Chronicle. Until the source of the gas is found, the pressure of the fuel and volatility of the escaping gas creates flames too forceful for firefighters to tackle.
(Read a National Geographic article on increasing fires in the U.S. West.)
Published September 10, 2010
Not a "firecane": A storm rages as debris from Hurricane Andrew burns in Homestead, Florida, in 1992.
Photograph by Raymond Gehman, National Geographic
With the Gulf oil spill largely gone, at least at the surface, you can rest easy that the fifth anniversary of Hurricane Katrina's Gulf Coast landfall won't be marked with a "firecane" or "black rain"—and it never would have been.
Flaming hurricanes and flammable rain are scientifically impossible, according to myth-busting scientists.
Ignited online, the firecane rumor has been covered by publications includingNew York magazine (read "Firecane!") and debated on Web forums such asMyth-Weavers, where one participant summed up how firecanes might be born:
But—surprise—the scenario doesn't stand up to scrutiny, according to Jeff Masters, director of meteorology for the Weather Underground website.
In an oil spill, Masters explained, it's the vapors from volatile compounds that burn, not the liquid oil itself. And most of those flammable volatiles evaporate and disperse soon after oil enters the water.
Even at the oil slick's worst this summer, the oil at the surface of the Gulf of Mexico (map) was largely a type of thick crude loaded with "heavy compounds" called asphaltenes, which don't burn easily under any conditions, Masters said.
This summer, for example, BP had a hard time starting even the intentional burns meant to deplete the slick, according to environmental chemist Barry Dellinger. In a marine oil spill, he added, there's simply too much water mixed with the crude to allow for a sustained blaze.
"They actually use napalm to start the burns, or they can't get enough heat," said Dellinger, of Louisiana State University.
(See "Oil Slick May Be Burned to Help Stop U.S. Rig Spill" [April 27].)
Unlike napalm, the slow-burning fuel made infamous in the Vietnam War, "lightning would be a quick strike," he said.
"I wouldn't think that you could have enough sustained heat from that to continue to have oil vaporize and burn."
Even if lightning could somehow ignite a hypothetical oily storm, the fire would quickly be quenched, according to Weather Underground's Masters.
"Hurricane winds and rain chop up the water so much," Masters said. "It would be very hard to sustain a fire in those kinds of conditions."
And that's assuming the oil could make it into hurricane winds and clouds in the first place.
Black Rain?
If oil from an ocean spill were to impregnate storm clouds, you might theoretically end up with oily rain turning Gulf cities into tinderboxes. Just this June unsubstantiated videos purported to show "black rain" (for example,"Raining Oil in Louisiana?" on the Huffington Post).
But because seawater must evaporate to reach clouds and possibly turn to rain—and because the floating crude in an oil spill is as hard to evaporate as it is to burn—black rain is pure science fiction.
If a hurricane strikes an oil slick, "the amount of oil that's going to be able to evaporate is very, very tiny," said Chris Landsea, science and operations officer at the National Hurricane Center in Miami.
"So any concentration of oil in the rain would be puny and the rain not much different at all from that found in a regular hurricane."
In addition, the seawater that makes it into clouds—even when an oil slick is present—is naturally clean, Weather Underground's Masters said.
The very process of evaporation filters out impurities, which is why it's used to make distilled water, he noted. "So that's not a good way to get oil into rain."
Oil on Land, Minus the Pyrotechnics
There are ways for an ocean oil slick to end up on land—for example via storm surges, tornado-like waterspouts, and strong winds. (See pictures of oil and tarballs on Gulf beaches in May.)
None of those methods, though, promise fire in the sky or combustible rain.
"The idea of a firecane, or oil raining down from the sky," NOAA's Landsea said, "those are really just impossible scenarios."
Hurricane Alex Spawns Tornadoes; Could've Been Stronger
Categories :
Now downgraded to a tropical storm, Alex grew fast in run-up to landfall.
Willie Drye
Published July 1, 2010
Eventually spawning tornadoes and killing at least three people, a strengthening Hurricane Alex came ashore Wednesday night in northern Mexico.
Hurricane Alex, however, did not push spilled oil from the Deepwater Horizon disaster beyond the coastlines along the Gulf of Mexico, as had been feared. (See "Hurricane Could Push Spilled Gulf Oil Into New Orleans.")
And, once over land, the hurricane rapidly weakened and was downgraded to tropical storm Alex.
Hurricane Alex made landfall around 9 p.m. CT at the village of Soto La Marina, about a hundred miles (160 kilometers) south of Brownsville, Texas. (See Gulf of Mexico map.)
Flash flooding had been reported where the storm came ashore, said William Wagner III, president of Early Alert, a private emergency management consulting firm in Palm City, Florida.
"We got reports that a lot of fishing villages were hit pretty hard," Wagner said.
(Pictures: "Hurricane Alex Pushes Oil on 'Cleaned' Beaches.")
Hurricane Alex Could Have Been Much Stronger
Hurricane Alex's hundred-mile-an-hour (160-kilometer-an-hour) winds made it a Category 2 hurricane at landfall.
But the storm could have easily become much stronger, based on Alex's barometric pressure readings, said Jim Campbell, a meteorologist at the National Weather Service office in Brownsville.
Barometric pressure—the force created by the weight of air—is an indicator of a storm's intensity, because the strong thunderstorms created by tropical storms decrease air pressure around the center of the storm. As the storm strengthens, the barometric pressure becomes lower, and winds accelerate.
Hurricane Katrina, for example, had a barometric pressure reading of 923 millibars when it made landfall in August 2005. Alex's barometric pressure at landfall was 947 millibars—the lowest for a June hurricane since 1957.
Also, radar showed that, just before landfall, Hurricane Alex was starting to gain momentum and intensify over very warm water, which is fuel for hurricanes, Campbell said. But making landfall caused the storm to become disorganized and weaken before its winds could become stronger.
"Just think what could have happened if it had had another hundred miles or so of water before it came ashore," Campbell said.
(See "Hurricane Season May Be 'Extremely Active.'")
Alex Unleashes Tornadoes
Alex spurred several tornadoes in Brownsville, including one that blew a tractor-trailer truck into a mobile home.
Hurricanes making landfall often spawn tornadoes because of the storms' interaction with the ground, according to Brian LaMarre, a meteorologist at the National Weather Service office in Slidell, Louisiana.
A hurricane usually harbors cells of intense thunderstorms. Contact with land can cause the thunderstorms rotate more intensely, and that can produce tornadoes, he said.
LaMarre said Hurricane Alex did not push spilled oil beyond beaches because the storm made landfall about 600 miles (1,000 kilometers) west of the Gulf spill site. (Related: "Hurricane Alex 'So Darn Large,' But Oil-Storm Fears Unfounded?")
But, he added, high waves and winds produced by Alex have temporarily halted work being done by BP to burn the oil and skim it from the Gulf's surface.
Hurricane Alex, however, did not push spilled oil from the Deepwater Horizon disaster beyond the coastlines along the Gulf of Mexico, as had been feared. (See "Hurricane Could Push Spilled Gulf Oil Into New Orleans.")
And, once over land, the hurricane rapidly weakened and was downgraded to tropical storm Alex.
Hurricane Alex made landfall around 9 p.m. CT at the village of Soto La Marina, about a hundred miles (160 kilometers) south of Brownsville, Texas. (See Gulf of Mexico map.)
Flash flooding had been reported where the storm came ashore, said William Wagner III, president of Early Alert, a private emergency management consulting firm in Palm City, Florida.
"We got reports that a lot of fishing villages were hit pretty hard," Wagner said.
(Pictures: "Hurricane Alex Pushes Oil on 'Cleaned' Beaches.")
Hurricane Alex Could Have Been Much Stronger
Hurricane Alex's hundred-mile-an-hour (160-kilometer-an-hour) winds made it a Category 2 hurricane at landfall.
But the storm could have easily become much stronger, based on Alex's barometric pressure readings, said Jim Campbell, a meteorologist at the National Weather Service office in Brownsville.
Barometric pressure—the force created by the weight of air—is an indicator of a storm's intensity, because the strong thunderstorms created by tropical storms decrease air pressure around the center of the storm. As the storm strengthens, the barometric pressure becomes lower, and winds accelerate.
Hurricane Katrina, for example, had a barometric pressure reading of 923 millibars when it made landfall in August 2005. Alex's barometric pressure at landfall was 947 millibars—the lowest for a June hurricane since 1957.
Also, radar showed that, just before landfall, Hurricane Alex was starting to gain momentum and intensify over very warm water, which is fuel for hurricanes, Campbell said. But making landfall caused the storm to become disorganized and weaken before its winds could become stronger.
"Just think what could have happened if it had had another hundred miles or so of water before it came ashore," Campbell said.
(See "Hurricane Season May Be 'Extremely Active.'")
Alex Unleashes Tornadoes
Alex spurred several tornadoes in Brownsville, including one that blew a tractor-trailer truck into a mobile home.
Hurricanes making landfall often spawn tornadoes because of the storms' interaction with the ground, according to Brian LaMarre, a meteorologist at the National Weather Service office in Slidell, Louisiana.
A hurricane usually harbors cells of intense thunderstorms. Contact with land can cause the thunderstorms rotate more intensely, and that can produce tornadoes, he said.
LaMarre said Hurricane Alex did not push spilled oil beyond beaches because the storm made landfall about 600 miles (1,000 kilometers) west of the Gulf spill site. (Related: "Hurricane Alex 'So Darn Large,' But Oil-Storm Fears Unfounded?")
But, he added, high waves and winds produced by Alex have temporarily halted work being done by BP to burn the oil and skim it from the Gulf's surface.
Oil Found in Gulf Beach Sand, Even After Cleanups
Long-lasting, hidden oil from the Gulf spill poses risk, experts say.
Christine Dell'Amore
in Pensacola Beach, Florida, and Gulf Islands National Seashore
National Geographic News
National Geographic News
Published July 2, 2010
Oil patties and tarballs were discovered as deep as 2 feet (0.6 meter) beneath beaches dirtied by the Gulf of Mexico oil spill—the deepest oil yet found by a team of University of South Florida coastal geologists that's been studying the effects of the oil spill on Gulf beaches since early May. The previous record had been 6 inches (about 15 centimeters) deep, said geologist Ping Wang, the team's leader.
The discoveries suggest that toxic oil lies hidden under even "clean" patches of beaches along the U.S. Gulf Coast—and that oil-spill cleanup crews are only scratching the surface.
Because the buried oil is both harder to clean and slower to break down, it could be a long-lasting threat to beachgoers, both animal and human, experts say.
This "weathered" oil—mainly tarballs and tar mats—began washing ashore around June 23 in Pensacola. (See pictures of Gulf oil atop Pensacola Beach.)Waves buried much of the oil under new layers of sand, particularly this week, when Hurricane Alex spawned rough seas around the Gulf. (See "Hurricane Alex Pushes 'Worst Oil' Ashore; Cleanup Slowed.")
"This time, we were lucky," said Wang, kneeling by a freshly dug hole striped with ribbons of black tar on Pensacola Beach, which remains open to beachgoers and swimmers, though a health advisory warns visitors away from any obvious oil.
Hurricane Alex's path was hundreds of miles to the east, so the storm's surges had been relatively small along Florida's Gulf coast.
As a result, the storm pushed only a thin amount of new oil onto Pensacola Beach and the nearby Gulf Islands National Seashore, which includes sites in both Florida and Mississippi. The preserve also remains open and under a health advisory. (See Gulf of Mexico map.)
(Gulf Oil Spill Pictures: Oil, Tarballs Hit Beaches.)
Yet when a bigger and closer storm powers through the Gulf, it could erode beaches and unleash the oil underneath, he said—while at the same time pushing ashore more oil from the Gulf spill, Wang noted. (See "Hurricane Could Push Spilled Gulf Oil Into New Orleans.")
Wang would know: He's studied 2004's Hurricane Ivan and 2005's Hurricane Dennis, both of which totally flooded Pensacola Beach.
Exposed oil, though, may be the least of the worries.
Even without cleanup crews, surface oil disappears fairly quickly as oxygen, sunlight, and oil-eating microbes break it down. Buried oil persists much longer, particularly deep down, where oxygen is in short supply.
What Lies Beneath: Oil Inches Below Beaches
"If [oil's] buried and you have a five-year-old out here next summer building a sand castle and they uncover a layer of tar and oil, that's not going to be good," said Tiffany Roberts, a Ph.D. student working in Wang's lab.
Contact with oil can cause skin irritation, and inhaling evaporated oil particles may cause nausea, headache, and dizziness—ailments already reported by some Gulf oil spill cleanup workers, according to the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services.
That's why Roberts and colleagues are studying how oil is distributed atop the beach—in hopes of discerning a surface pattern that could be used predict the locations of buried oil, she said.
Right now cleanup crews are "dealing with the immediate," she said. Eventually "we've got to figure out what's below."
Like a New Oil Spill With Every Storm
It's easy for cleanup crews to be deceived by invisible oil, according to Michel Boufadel, who has studied the lingering oil from the 1989 Exxon Valdez tanker spill in Alaska. (Exxon Valdez Pictures: 20 Years on, Spilled Oil Remains.)
For example, in 1992 crews packed up and left the Valdez site without realizing that vast quantities of oil still sat below the surface—and much of that oil remains underground today, said Boufadel, chair of Temple University's Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering in Ambler, Pennsylvania.
"You can go to a beach and say the beach is clean," he said, "and then a year later a storm hits and you find out that the beach is still polluted."
It's like "getting a new spill" with every storm, Boufadel added.
Unlike the frigid Alaska coastline, however, Florida's beaches are hot and sunny—conditions that may evaporate exposed oil more quickly.
Wildlife Impacts are "Uncharted Territory"
If the spilled oil under Gulf beaches stays buried, it could harm wildlife that nest and feed along the coast, experts say. For instance, some shorebirds eat only small sand-dwelling invertebrates, such as bloodworms, which could be killed by the oil.
(Gulf Oil Spill Pictures: Birds, Fish, Crabs Coated.)
"If the oil does get into the surf zone and [poisons] invertebrates that these guys are eating, then the food base is gone," said Riley Hoggard, a resource-management specialist for Gulf Islands National Seashore. "It's going to be tough for some of these shorebirds."
(Related: "Oil-Coated Birds Better off Dead?")
Likewise, four species of Gulf sea turtle hatchlings—which crawl through sand layers to leave their underground nests—could get injured or killed through contact with buried oil on their way out to sea, Hoggard said.
In part to address such threats, the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service recently began arranging the relocation of some 70,000 turtle eggs from 700 Gulf Coast nests. After the babies hatch in a special facility in a warehouse at eastern Florida's Kennedy Space Center, they will be released on several Atlantic Ocean beaches—on the other side of the state from the Gulf.
The turtles' internal magnetic "maps"—apparently "tuned" to Gulf beaches during incubation—should point the animals back to their native Gulf waters, even with the entire Florida Peninsula in their way, Hoggard said.
Hoggard admits the massive sea turtle rescue operation is "uncharted territory," and could fail. But "we can't afford to lose a generation of them," he said. "That's what gnaws at your stomach."
Environmental Directory
Environmental Directory
Welcome to NaturesList.org environmental directory. All sites are validated by human editors in order to bring you only the best environmental resources, both regional and worldwide.| Link Categories | |
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Organizations (394) Policy Government - USA Government - International ... Agencies, Countries |
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| Latest links added | |
| Alternative Energy News | added: 7/13/2009 |
| Alternative Energy News and directory | |
| CAERAN - Natural Products for a Natural Lifestyle | added: 7/14/2008 |
| Caring And Environmentally Responsible And Nurturing organization. (C.A.E.R.A.N.) Canadian Manufacturer and Retailer of natural, environmentally responsible products: CAERAN biodegradable and eco-friendly household cleaners and laundry liquids, personal care, mineral cosmetics, and hair care. Retailer of the LiceMeister Comb, E•Zyme Sport equipment deodorizer and therapeutic grade essential oils. | |
| Organic Trade Association | added: 7/14/2008 |
| Organic Trade Association (OTA) is a membership-based business association that focuses on the organic business community in North America. OTA's mission is to promote and protect the growth of organic trade to benefit the environment, farmers, the public and the economy. | |
| Environmental Career | added: 6/8/2007 |
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| Got2BeGreen | added: 5/15/2007 |
| Got2BeGreen offers simple everyday tips to changing our current lifestyle and displays examples of how small efforts can make a big impact on the world of tomorrow. | |
NEW CATFISH PICTURE: "Picky," Elusive Hatchlings Born
Normally shy and secretive, a male twig catfish takes center stage as he watches over his eggs at Washington, D.C.'s Smithsonian National Zoo—behavior that, in the wild, would help keep the fish-to-be from becoming a predator's lunch.
Earlier this month, one of the zoo's female twig catfish had laid between 30 and 60 eggs on the glass wall of her aquarium—which in the wild would be any open vertical surface. Her breeding partner—seen above with his pebble-like progeny—took over to guard the eggs until they hatched on November 12.
Zoo staff will carefully track the development of the newborns, since scientists haven't had much success raising twig catfish newborns in the past. The juveniles are picky eaters and, once hatched, can be hard to find even in a zoo tank, noted Vincent Rico, assistant curator for the zoo's Amazonia exhibit.
Twig catfish are native to the Amazon, Orinoco, and Paraná rivers of South America.
Scientists don't know how many twig catfish live in the wild, because the tiny, slim fish look remarkably like submerged plant debris, making them difficult to spot. (See related pictures of the world's largest catfish in Thailand.)
Wild female twig catfish lay their eggs on surfaces covered with algae, the food of choice for newly hatched fry. Adult twig catfish also munch on algae as well as the fallen plant matter they use for camouflage.
At the zoo, newborn twig catfish nibble on blanched kale, shelled peas, and sometimes the low-protein, low-fat gel the zoo feeds their parents, Rico said.
In addition to the new arrivals, ten adult twig catfish currently live at the National Zoo, although the youngsters and their parents are not in public tanks.
"Darwin" Tortoises "Make" Video
Environmental conference aims to protect rare species
Environmental conference aims to protect rare species
HA NOI — More than two dozens of Viet Nam’s environmental police gather this week in Ha Noi for four days of training on wildlife trade enforcement.
The training, led by German CITES experts, will focus on the regulations, implementation and enforcement of CITES (the Convention on International Trade in Endangered Species of Wild Fauna and Flora), the primary international agreement regulating trade in wildlife and wildlife products.
The workshop is one of two being conducted by the Greater Mekong office of TRAFFIC, the wildlife trade monitoring network, in co-operation with the German CITES Management Authority.
The training will be held in Ha Noi for environmental officers from northern Viet Nam, while the second will take place on November 30 to December 3 in HCM City for officers from southern provinces.
Both workshops are sponsored by the German Ministry for Environment and the Federal Agency for Nature Conservation (BFN) and will include a field trip to nearby wildlife centres and farms to give trainees hands-on experience in animal identification and CITES compliance.
In Viet Nam, as in other parts of Southeast Asia, the illicit wildlife trade has pushed species such as tigers, Asian elephants, Javan rhinoceros and hawksbill turtles to the brink of extinction, and caused a sharp decline in wild populations of many others.
Although relatively new, the Department of Environmental Police has shown an ever-increasing commitment to ending wildlife trafficking since its inception in 2007. It has expanded to a force of nearly 1,000 officers stationed around the country, and has been increasingly more active in investigating and seizing illegal wildlife products.
The growing frequency of wildlife seizures by authorities indicates an improved understanding of illegal trafficking and CITES regulations, thanks in part to two previous training sessions conducted by TRAFFIC in 2008.
According to Nguyen Dao Ngoc Van, senior project officer with TRAFFIC Greater Mekong Programme, such results are encouraging for Viet Nam’s CITES enforcement efforts.
"When the environmental police were first created, officers didn’t know which plants and animals were protected. Now we see the evidence of the effectiveness of the training in providing the technical skills and knowledge necessary to monitor and confiscate illegal wildlife," said Van.
The training takes place over the next two weeks and will include an element of capacity building for the environmental police. A selection of the 50 workshop participants will be taught how to lead their own training sessions for other officers in their units, thereby ensure the long-term sustainability of CITES enforcement in Viet Nam.
"It is the quickest way for Viet Nam’s environmental police to familiarise its officers with basic CITES knowledge," said lead trainer Franz Bohmer, who has more than two decades experience conducting CITES training. — VNS
Amazon countries, France get ready for Copenhagen
MANAOS, Brazil (AFP) – The presidents of eight nations straddling the Amazon basin plus France will meet Thursday in the heart of the Amazon rainforest to lay out a save-the-jungle proposal for next month's climate change summit in Copenhagen.
Called by President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva of Brazil, the biggest stock holder in the Amazon basin, the one-day meeting includes President Nicolas Sarkozy since France's overseas department of French Guyana extends into the Amazon basin.
Together with leaders from Bolivia, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Peru, Surinam and Venezuela, Lula and Sarkozy hope to draw up a "common stance" for the December 7-18 conference in the Danish capital on saving the Amazon jungle.
Lula, who met with Sarkozy two weeks ago in Paris to plan for the summit, hopes that Thursday's meeting in Manaos will yield "an ambitious message on issues of great relevance to the region," his spokesman Marcelo Baubach told reporters.
"Brazil believes it is crucial for the (Amazon) region to have a converging and cooperative participation" in the Copenhagen summit, he added.
Greenpeace's Amazon official Paulo Adario told AFP that the Lula-Sarkozy alliance was significant "because France has an important leadership role in the European Union and Brazil is also showing growing leadership on the international stage."
Centerpiece of the Amazon governments' initiative at the upcoming summit is Brazil's proposal to fight rampant deforestation throughout the Amazon basin with financial help from rich nations.
The clearing of wide swaths of jungle for farming and livestock, especially in Brazil, is reducing the planet's capacity to absorb greenhouse gases -- chiefly CO2 -- that contribute largely to global warming and climate change, environmentalists said.
As the fourth-largest greenhouse gas producer, Brazil has promised to cut its CO2 emissions by 36-39 percent by 2020. Half that effort will come from reducing deforestation in the Amazon jungle by 80 percent.
Brazil this year has managed to curb deforestation to its lowest level in 20 years, but still 7,000 square kilometers (2,700 square miles) of rainforest disappeared.
The talks in Copenhagen, under the 192-nation UN Framework Convention on Climate Change, aim to craft a post-2012 pact for curbing the heat-trapping gases that drive global warming.
The European Union is pledging to reduce its emissions by 20 percent from 1990 levels before 2020, raising the target to 30 percent in the event of an international agreement. Japan has offered 25 percent, with conditions.
US President Barack Obama, whose country is one of the world's two biggest polluters along with China, will offer to curb US emissions by 17 percent from 2005 levels by 2020, less than calls by the EU and Japan but still the first US plan to cut carbon emissions.
GOP Senator Tells Climate Change Researchers to Retain Controversial E-Mails
FOXNews.com
The U.S. Senate's leading global warming skeptic has sent letters to several climate change scientists and to the inspectors general of various federal agencies notifying them to retain breached documents and e-mails that he says prove researchers are manipulating data to make the case for global warming.
The move by Oklahoma Sen. James Inhofe, the top Republican on the Environment and Public Works Committee, is part of his push for an investigation into whether the U.N's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has fudged the science on global warming.
The controversy began a week before President Obama announced his decision to go to Copenhagen next month to outline the U.S. goals for reducing greenhouse gas emissions.
It also underscores the difficulty the U.S. faces in achieving a global treaty on emissions reduction at the conference -- one that would replace the Kyoto Protocol from 1997 that the U.S. never ratified.
Inhofe said the manipulation of climate change data has been going on for a long time, but the disclosure of the breached e-mails could bury the climate change legislation that narrowly passed in the House but is stuck in the Senate.
"Now that this has come out and if you go back and look at the speech I made on the Senate floor four years ago, this really just documents what I suspected at the time," Inhofe told Fox News on Tuesday.
Last week, hackers reportedly broke into the electronic files of the Climatic Research Unit of the University of East Anglia in Great Britain, and posted e-mails in which scientists dismissed climate change skeptics, expressed concern about the lack of evidence to prove the threat of global warming, and discussed ways to manipulate the data.
In one e-mail, published in The Washington Post, a scientist wrote, "We can't account for the lack of warming at the moment and it is a travesty that we can't."
In another e-mail, published in the Wall Street Journal, a scientist wrote, "I'm really sorry that you have to go through all this stuff, Phil. Next time I see Pat Michaels at a scientific meeting, I'll be tempted to beat the crap out of him. Very tempted."
Michaels, a senior fellow in environmental studies at the libertarian Cato Institute, has written a number of books forcefully challenging the science of global warming.
In another e-mail, published in the Guardian, a British newspaper, a scientist wrote, "I've just completed Mike's nature (the Science Journal) trick of adding in the real temps to face each series for the last 20 years (from 1981 onwards) and from 1961 for Keith's to hide the decline."
Kevin Trenberth, one of the scientists whose e-mails were hacked, called the breach an "illegal act" and said the e-mails don't undermine the data proving the threat of global warming.
"There's certainly disputes among scientists and how to deal with the skeptics and so on, but not about the science itself," he told Fox News. "And it's not dependent upon a few individuals. There are hundreds of scientists involved around the world that are doing climate change science."
But Myron Ebell of the Competitive Enterprise Institute, said there is no evidence that the e-mails were hacked, and they could have been released by a whistleblower. He also said while Trenberth is not one of the "main gang leaders," he is part of a "gang" that is cooking that data on global warming.
"They've been doing this for years and it's clear by looking at the data files that they have been doing that," he told Fox News. "I'm sorry but these people have already been revealed as not having any honor. Now they're being revealed as not having any sense of shame. They're just trying to brazen it out."
The move by Oklahoma Sen. James Inhofe, the top Republican on the Environment and Public Works Committee, is part of his push for an investigation into whether the U.N's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has fudged the science on global warming.
The controversy began a week before President Obama announced his decision to go to Copenhagen next month to outline the U.S. goals for reducing greenhouse gas emissions.
It also underscores the difficulty the U.S. faces in achieving a global treaty on emissions reduction at the conference -- one that would replace the Kyoto Protocol from 1997 that the U.S. never ratified.
Inhofe said the manipulation of climate change data has been going on for a long time, but the disclosure of the breached e-mails could bury the climate change legislation that narrowly passed in the House but is stuck in the Senate.
"Now that this has come out and if you go back and look at the speech I made on the Senate floor four years ago, this really just documents what I suspected at the time," Inhofe told Fox News on Tuesday.
Last week, hackers reportedly broke into the electronic files of the Climatic Research Unit of the University of East Anglia in Great Britain, and posted e-mails in which scientists dismissed climate change skeptics, expressed concern about the lack of evidence to prove the threat of global warming, and discussed ways to manipulate the data.
In one e-mail, published in The Washington Post, a scientist wrote, "We can't account for the lack of warming at the moment and it is a travesty that we can't."
In another e-mail, published in the Wall Street Journal, a scientist wrote, "I'm really sorry that you have to go through all this stuff, Phil. Next time I see Pat Michaels at a scientific meeting, I'll be tempted to beat the crap out of him. Very tempted."
Michaels, a senior fellow in environmental studies at the libertarian Cato Institute, has written a number of books forcefully challenging the science of global warming.
In another e-mail, published in the Guardian, a British newspaper, a scientist wrote, "I've just completed Mike's nature (the Science Journal) trick of adding in the real temps to face each series for the last 20 years (from 1981 onwards) and from 1961 for Keith's to hide the decline."
Kevin Trenberth, one of the scientists whose e-mails were hacked, called the breach an "illegal act" and said the e-mails don't undermine the data proving the threat of global warming.
"There's certainly disputes among scientists and how to deal with the skeptics and so on, but not about the science itself," he told Fox News. "And it's not dependent upon a few individuals. There are hundreds of scientists involved around the world that are doing climate change science."
But Myron Ebell of the Competitive Enterprise Institute, said there is no evidence that the e-mails were hacked, and they could have been released by a whistleblower. He also said while Trenberth is not one of the "main gang leaders," he is part of a "gang" that is cooking that data on global warming.
"They've been doing this for years and it's clear by looking at the data files that they have been doing that," he told Fox News. "I'm sorry but these people have already been revealed as not having any honor. Now they're being revealed as not having any sense of shame. They're just trying to brazen it out."
Obama to vow greenhouse emissions cuts in Denmark
WASHINGTON – Putting his prestige on the line, President Barack Obama will personally commit the U.S. to a goal of substantially cutting greenhouse gases at next month's Copenhagen climate summit. He will insist America is ready to tackle global warming despite resistance in Congress over higher costs for businesses and homeowners.
Obama will attend the start of the conference Dec. 9 before heading to Oslo to accept the Nobel Peace Prize. He will "put on the table" a U.S. commitment to cut emissions by 17 percent over the next decade, on the way to reducing heat-trapping pollution by 80 percent by mid-century, the White House said.
Cutting U.S. carbon dioxide emissions by one-sixth in just a decade would increase the cost of energy as electric utilities pay for capturing carbon dioxide at coal burning power plants or switch to more expensive alternatives. The price of gasoline likely would increase, and more fuel efficient automobiles — or hybrids that run on gasoline and electricity — likely would be more expensive.
Still, there is widespread disagreement over the cost to consumers.
Obama's promise of greenhouse emissions cuts will require Congress to pass complex climate legislation that the administration says will include an array of measures to ease the price impact. The bills before Congress, for example, would have the government provide polluters free emissions allowances in the early years of the transition from fossil fuels, as well as direct payments to many consumers facing high costs.
And, supporters of emission reductions say, there would be clear long-term health and environmental benefits from shifting the a clean-energy economy.
Carol Browner, Obama's assistant for energy and climate change, on Wednesday a cited a Congressional Budget Office study that said there would be $173-a-year estimated cost to the average household by 2020 if greenhouse gases were cut by 17 percent by then from 2005 levels. But the CBO analysis also said that if the cost-blunting measures in the legislation were not taken into account, the cost to households could jump to $890 per household.
Other studies conducted by pro-industry groups have put the average household costs at $900 to more than $3,000 a year, although many of those studies do not take into account new energy conservation efforts and assume a more pessimistic view of new technology development that could bring actual consumer costs down.
But slashing carbon dioxide emissions also could save millions of lives, mostly by reducing preventable deaths from heart and lung diseases, according to studies published this week in the British medical journal The Lancet. None of the studies — either those cited by the administration or those singled out by critics — attempt to gauge a "no-action" scenario that many scientists say will have significant economic costs as well.
The White House said Obama's decision to attend the international conference in Denmark was "a sign of his continuing commitment and leadership to find a global solution to the global threat of climate change."
But Obama's stopover on the conference's second day — instead of later when negotiations will be most intense and when most other national leaders will take part — disappointed some European and U.N. climate officials, as well as some environmentalists.
Others said Obama's personal appeal will resonate with the delegates from more than 75 countries and help reset the U.S. image on the climate issue after eight years in which the Bush administration staunchly opposed mandatory reductions in greenhouse gases.
Yvo de Boer, the United Nations climate chief, said it is important for the United States to establish emissions reduction targets and a financial commitment to helping developing countries address climate change.
"If he comes in the first week to announce that, it would be a major boost to the conference," de Boer told The Associated Press. He said Obama's participation was critical because delegates "are looking to the United States to come forward."
The president's first trip to Copenhagen — just last month — was less than fruitful. He made an unsuccessful pitch for the 2016 Summer Olympics to be held in Chicago.
Obama's participation had been in doubt since it became clear that the Dec. 7-18 conference was unlikely to produce a binding agreement, The original goal of the conference was to produce a new global climate change treaty to replace the 1997 Kyoto Protocol. But in recent weeks it became clear that delegates were likely to produce at best an outline for an agreement to be considered late next year.
The White House said Obama's commitment to a 17 percent emissions cut from 2005 levels by 2020 would be the first step toward an 80 percent reduction outlined in legislation before Congress. It said Obama is expecting "robust mitigation contributions" from China and other emerging nations as part of any final agreement.
Obama pressed for cooperation on climate change in meetings with Chinese President Hu Jintao in Beijing last week, and with Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh, during a state visit at the White House Tuesday.
China's top climate envoy said Wednesday his nation would seek binding pollution targets for developed countries but reject similar requirements for itself at the summit.
Yu Qingtai said it would be unfair for all countries to be required to combat global warming since most of the environmental damage has been caused by developed nations during their industrialization over the past 100 to 200 years.
The White House said it will send a half-dozen Cabinet secretaries to the talks, including Energy Secretary Steven Chu and Commerce Secretary Gary Locke, as well as the head of the Environmental Protection Agency, which is preparing regulations to cut greenhouse gases.
The high-profile delegation is intended to reinforce Obama's stance, despite the bitter debate in Congress. The House narrowly passed legislation requiring a cap on greenhouse gases from power plants and industry, but it's still unclear whether Senate Democrats will be able to muster the 60 votes needed to approve a similar bill.
Action in the Senate has been put off until next spring.
Administration officials don't want to repeat the mistake of Kyoto, when the U.S. agreed to emission reductions but never implemented them because of strong political opposition at home. The U.S. never ratified the Kyoto agreement.
Most environmentalists hailed Obama's decision to go to Copenhagen, even if it's early in the conference. They said it will help set the tone of the talks and reverse America's image internationally on climate change.
Said Michael Oppenheimer, a professor of geoscience and international affairs at Princeton University: "The U.S. has stood as the bad guy for so long that it's critically important for the U.S. president to set the tone for the meeting."
GLOBAL DAY OF ACTION
International Demonstrations on Climate Change
December 12th 2009
at the time of the United Nations Talks on climate change (COP15/MOP5)
in Copenhagen, Denmark
This webpage has been set up to publicise and promote plans for demonstrations on climate change, to coincide with the annual United Nations Climate Talks which are taking place this year (COP15/MOP5) in Copenhagen, Denmark on December 7th to 18th 2009.
We intend synchronised demonstrations around the world on Saturday December 12th 2009 - in as many places as possible - to call on world leaders to take urgent action on climate change.
The Copenhagen Climate Talks are the world's last chance to secure an emissions reductions agreement that will replace the Kyoto Protocol before it expires. There is a growing consensus among scientists that we have as little as ten years to stop and reverse the global growth in greenhouse gas emissions before 'runaway' climate change becomes uncontrollable. That means the international talks being held in Copenhagen in December 2009 could be our last chance to avert a global catastrophe of unimaginable proportions - perhaps the most important international meeting ever held. We feel therefore that there is an overwhelming need to demonstrate a global will for urgent and effective action at this time
The 'Call to Action' for the demonstrations is as follows
“We demand that world leaders take the urgent and resolute action that is needed to prevent the catastrophic destabilisation of global climate, so that the entire world can move as rapidly as possible to a stronger emissions reductions treaty which is both equitable and effective in minimising dangerous climate change.
We demand that the long-industrialised countries that have emitted most greenhouse gases currently in the atmosphere take responsibility for climate change mitigation by immediately reducing their own emissions as well as investing in a clean energy revolution in the developing world. Developed countries must take their fair share of the responsibility to pay for the adaptive measures that have to be taken, especially by low-emitting countries with limited economic resources.
We demand that the long-industrialised countries that have emitted most greenhouse gases currently in the atmosphere take responsibility for climate change mitigation by immediately reducing their own emissions as well as investing in a clean energy revolution in the developing world. Developed countries must take their fair share of the responsibility to pay for the adaptive measures that have to be taken, especially by low-emitting countries with limited economic resources.
info@globalclimatecampaign.org
Demonstrating for action on climate, Istanbul, Turkey December 8th 2007
Permafrost thaw threatens Russia oil and gas complex
MOSCOW (AFP) –
Thawing permafrost caused by global warming is costing Russian energy firms billions of dollars annually in damage control and shrinking Russia's territory, Greenpeace warned in a new study Friday.
According to the report by the environmental watchdog, up to 55 billion roubles (1.9 billion dollars) a year is spent on repairs to infrastructure and pipelines damaged by changes in the permafrost in western Siberia.
"For Russia, the biggest threat of the permafrost melt is to oil and gas company infrastructure," said Vladimir Chuprov, who heads Greenpeace's energy programme in Russia.
He said that the group had consulted with experts at gas giant Gazprom in writing its report, which detailed the destruction to infrastructure such as pipelines caused by rising temperatures and resulting melt water.
"These are people who see what is happening and are already feeling the economic consequences of it," he told reporters in Moscow.
Russia's main raw export industries are spread across the Siberian permafrost, which makes up over 60 percent of its territory and includes 20 cities and several hundred thousand people.
The permafrost thaw has accelerated in recent years and Russia is now shrinking by 30 square kilometres (12 square miles) per year as icey territory disappears from the coastline, one of the authors of the report, Oleg Anisimov, warned.
"It's not only an economic and infrastructure problem but a geopolitical one. It means the loss of Russian territory," said Anisimov, a senior researcher at the State Hydrological Institute in Saint Petersburg.
"It's a simple observable fact that in the last decade the coastline retreat has sped up by five or six times."
Anisimov and other experts spoke defensively as many Russian establishment scientists do not believe in global warming. Some say Russia may even profit from better weather thanks to climate change.
Another Greenpeace study author Sergei Kirpotin said that the greatest threat of the permafrost melt may be that it powerfully accelerates global warming by unlocking billions of tonnes of the potent greenhouse gas methane.
Methane is some 20 times more efficient than carbon dioxide in trapping solar heat, experts say.
"Before we saw marshlands just as wasteland but in recent years scientists have realized that the Siberian swamplands have a large climate-regulating role," said Kirpotin, from the Tomsk State University in Siberia.
"It is like a methane bomb threat in our north.... There is the feeling that this bomb figuratively speaking could explode."
In a complex cycle, permafrost melts at the edges of lakes that previously were iced over year-round, he explained.
Organic material -- the remains of rotted plants and long-dead animals -- then melt into the lake from the soil and decompose to form methane. With the thaw, the methane bubbles to the surface and is released into the atmosphere.
Greenpeace said it plans to present its study to Russian President Dmitry Medvedev in a meeting on November 23, ahead of a UN climate summit next month.
Russia has said it was ready to cut its greenhouse gas emissions by 20 to 25 percent by 2020 from 1990 levels, raising its target from 15 percent, ahead of the summit in Copenhagen on December 7-18.
East Antarctic ice sheet may be losing mass
The mass loss is probably driven by processes occurring on the coast
The East Antarctic ice sheet has been losing mass for the last three years, according to an analysis of data from a gravity-measuring satellite mission.
The scientists involved say they are "surprised" by the finding, because the giant East Antarctic sheet, unlike the west, has been thought to be stable.
Other scientists say ice loss could not yet be pinned on climate change, and uncertainties in the data are large.
The US-based team reports its findings in the journal Nature Geoscience.
The data comes from Nasa's Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (Grace) mission.
Professor Richard Alley |
These two bodies of ice contain enough water to raise sea levels by about six to seven metres (20ft) each if they melted completely.
Melting the East Antarctic sheet would raise sea levels by much more - about 50-60m.
But scientists have generally discounted the possibility of it happening because the region is so cold.
The Grace measurements suggest there was no net ice loss between 2002 and 2006.
But since then, East Antarctica has been losing 57 billion tonnes (Gt) per year.
"We felt surprised to see this change in East Antarctica," study leader Jianli Chen from the Centre for Space Research at the University of Texas in Austin told BBC News.
The loss still looks small by contrast with West Antarctica, which is losing 132Gt per year, and with Greenland, where a recent analysis combining Grace data with other measurements indicated an annual figure of 273Gt.
Previous Grace analyses - and those from other satellites - had given an inconclusive picture for the giant ice body.
The twin Grace satellites fly in close formation, detecting minute changes in the Earth's gravity through the marginal changes this causes in their relative positions.
Eastern energy
Measuring Antarctic ice loss is a tricky issue because the continent itself is rising and deforming.
Readings from satellite missions have to be adjusted to allow for this rebound - and that is one source of uncertainty when trying to assess the significance of the new research, according to Richard Alley, one of the world's leading glaciologists.
"The first thing is that lots of this is dependent on the isostatic [rebound] model, and (recent work has) cast some doubt on the istostatic models that people are using," commented the Penn State University researcher (who was not involved in the paper).
"And then you get into the age-old question of 'is it climate or is it weather?'
"So it energises me as a scientist, but I'm not convinced that as yet it should energise anyone else."
Rising potential
The Grace data gives a picture of where ice is being lost across the continent; and these areas are mainly on the coast.
It is not clear what physical processes could be driving any loss of mass here, although it is not simply melting due to high air temperatures, because temperatures are well below zero.
One clue could lie in research published last year by Leigh Stearns and colleagues, showing that lakes under the ice sheet can periodically overflow, with the liquid water then acting as a lubricant to speed glaciers on their way towards the sea.
The Grace satellites provide a twin eye on gravity at the Earth's surface |
"It's easy to jump to the conclusion that it's exceptional because it's the first time we've recorded it, but we do need a baseline of how things have been in the past so we do need to be cautious," said the University of Kansas researcher.
"Nevertheless, it awakens us to the fact that the East Antarctic sheet is more dynamic than we thought, and we do need to pay attention to it because its potential for sea level rise is so much greater than in West Antarctica or Greenland."
Dr Chen said that one of his team was currently conducting airborne surveys of one of the regions where mass loss had been detected, hoping to shed some light on the mechanisms involved.
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